Monday, December 21, 2020

Famous Last Words on Interest Rates

I do not know about you, but this fear of inflation is beginning to get out of hand. Ever since President Carter's unfortunate tenure as our President, we have had this huge fear of another bout of similar inflation. Personally and professionally speaking, I believe it is all a bunch of hooey. This could be my famous last words on the subject, but I am willing to stick my neck out.

What went wrong back then?

  • Back when President Carter was in office, we had a horrible position of energy dependence. We needed a lot more oil than we had and we were subject to the whims of other countries.
  • Insurance companies were allowed to purchase high yield bonds for their normally staid investment portfolios.
  • Banks were just abject fools back then offering double digit CD's.
  • Insurance companies were offering fixed annuities to compete with those bank double digit CD's by offering double digit fixed annuities.
  • Bank regulators could not keep up with the fast moving changes.
  • Insurance regulators were woefully inept.
  • The biggest factor was that the Federal Reserve Bank thought that the best way to solve the runaway inflation problem was to raise interest rates.

What did we learn from all this?

  • Never again be dependent on other countries for our oil supply.
  • Limit the amount of high yield bonds that insurance companies can purchase.
  • When you are a bank, you offer paltry CD rates and people will still buy them.
  • When you are an insurance company, you offer paltry fixed annuity rates and people will still buy them.
  • Bank regulation is much improved, especially since the 2008 fiasco.
  • Insurance regulation is better, but there are still problems with product approvals. They are too complicated for the average consumer to understand, in my opinion.
  • The Federal Reserve Bank is still a problem. Raising interest rates like they did fueled the problem.

We fixed most of those problems, but the Federal Reserve Board of Governors still believe that President Carter days are just around the corner, if we do not watch out. Never mind the fact that according to the Federal Reserve's own numbers, they have over seven trillion on their balance sheet at Federal Reserve banks across the United States. This is not a paltry sum by any means.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/current/h41.htm 

I for one do not believe that we will have to worry about inflation on the par of President Carter's tenure in office. The main reason for this is, if the Federal Reserve raises rates like they did back then, it would doom our economy and nation. It would cause the amount of U.S. Debt to increase exponentially with a rise in interest rates that would cause an enormous hit to our balance sheet, not to mention the government debt. In effect, they would be cutting their own throat. It is much easier for the Federal Reserve to keep buying fixed income investments (bonds and mortgages,) put them on their balance sheet, then let them mature, or pick and choose profitable times to sell. These actions will guarantee rates will be low for the foreseeable future. Inflation is not a problem and I do not believe that we should ever worry about it. So, when you see the pundits on television talking about inflation getting out of hand, know that they are full of bull. It is not going to get out of hand. I'll stick my neck out and say we will never see another round of inflation like we saw when President Carter was in office.

Monday, October 12, 2020

Review Your Parent's Beneficiaries

The best advice that I can ever give adult children of older parents is to review their financial, annuity and insurance policies to see if their beneficiary designations are according to their wishes. A lot of times, one parent passes away and nobody bothers to check the beneficiary designations. Sometimes the deceased spouse is still listed as a beneficiary. This can create a major headache, especially if not corrected. 

I recently ran into another situation where an adult son's ex-girlfriend was named as a beneficiary. The parent thought that his adult son would eventually marry this girl and never got around to changing the beneficiary.

On another case, a lady with dementia in a nursing home was named as a beneficiary. This really complicates things especially when the parent has already passed away. The lady in the nursing home is due the proceeds for their share even if she passes away before paying it. You have to go find out who is handling her affairs, where to send the check, how to apply for the beneficiary share when the person (the lady in the nursing home) cannot legally sign for herself. It just becomes an administrative nightmare.

Of course, sometimes there is no beneficiary at all named like with individual accounts. Individual accounts without a beneficiary designation are guaranteed to have to go through probate if the person has an estate size of more than $75,000 in most states. You can avoid this with a Revocable Living Trust or by adding a transfer on death clause to the individual account.

Personally, I have been in business for over 30 years and I have yet to see the "perfect" estate of a parent who had all their i's dotted and t's crossed. They may be out there somewhere, but I have not seen anyone's estate like this in my thirty plus years. It pays to follow up on these beneficiary designations to make sure that there are no hidden surprises.  

We offer a beneficiary review service for an hourly fee of $100 per hour with a $400 maximum. This is a small price to pay to get things right, in my opinion.

See our Form ADV 2A disclosures on our web site at https://marianfs.com.

Tuesday, September 22, 2020

10 Critical Mistakes in Estate Planning

Over my thirty-two plus year career, I continued to see mistakes in legal documents prepared by attorneys along with the failure to review and update these legal documents by their clients. No offense to the many "flawless" attorneys out there. These are the biggest mistakes that I often see:

  1. Failure by the attorney to make certain that individual and joint assets are re-titled into the new Revocable Living Trust by the client.
  2. Failure in drafting a Revocable Living Trust (mostly on purpose) that names a bank or corporate trustee.
  3. Failure by the client to update their legal documents periodically.
  4. Failure by the attorney, again on purpose, to force the creation of one or more Testamentary Trusts at the death of the grantors.
  5. Failure to have clear language regarding beneficiaries ability to accept their share outright, or as a lump sum.
  6. Failure in drafting a Revocable Living Trust that restricts all beneficiaries as if they were all addicted to drugs, having maritial problems, or are a spendthrift.
  7. Failure to record a deed for real estate into the name of the Revocable Living Trust.
  8. Failure by the attorney to make clear their fee and timetable to perform trust updates.
  9. Failure by the attorney to obtain client signatures in all the proper places.
  10. Failure by the attorney in not drafting a "see-through trust" when recommending the beneficiary of qualified plans and IRA's be the new Revocable Living Trust.

Let's take these one by one. 

Number one is very typical. The attorney drafts the document, then tells the client to re-title everything, yet nobody follows up to see that it is completed.

Number two in most cases is totally unnecessary for middle class families. Someone with a small estate has no need for a bank trustee. This should be a no-brainer by the attorney, but I have seen it often.

Number three is very common. Sometimes the grantor's beneficiary dies before they do and the Revocable Living Trust is never updated. Further still, the grantor may have wanted to change their beneficiaries, but did not get around to it.

Number four is a pure money grab by the attorney, in my opinion. The grantor paid the attorney for the Revocable Living Trust, then the attorney never explained and the client never read it to see that each beneficiary cannot have access to their share of the estate. Only the income from the principal and for their health and welfare. By adding Testamentary Trusts which are created upon the death of the last grantor, then this is what you end up with. This makes each beneficiary have to hire an attorney. You see, even though your parents left you a share, since you are three siblings for example, then all three have to hire their own attorney to draft their own Testamentary Trust. One attorney cannot represent three siblings. They are barred from doing so since each sibling has competing interests and different beneficiaries.

Number five is related to number four. There is no provision for an outright distribution or lump-sum distribution for beneficiaries when Testamentary Trusts are created. You do not need Testamentary Trusts if you pay beneficiaries outright.

Number six is where the attorney drafts the Revocable Living Trust so that all beneficiaries are considered spendthrifts or have marriage or addiction problems. Each family is different, but attorneys tend to treat all the beneficiaries the same when they draft legal documents, even if only one beneficiary has issues.

Number seven is related to number one. I see this a lot. The attorney tells the client to do a quit claim deed, but there is a breakdown in communication somewhere along the line and the quit claim deed does not get filed with the county where the real estate is located.

Number eight is where the attorneys gladly take the client's money to do the initial drafting of the Revocable Living Trust, but do not have a clear explanation about their fee to update the trust as the client's lives change, or tax laws change. Clients are left to wonder how much it costs for an update and typically blow it off and file it away in the "I'll do it later" category. For example, in Florida, the Revocable Living Trust, the Pour-Over Will and the Financial Powers of Attorney should all be witnessed by two people with their full addresses. Everyone, the grantor and the two witnesses signatures should also be notarized. You may have a problem in Florida if the trust does not have two witnesses and a notarization of everyone's signature. You do not want to find out when someone passes away about this issue. Do an Estate Planning Review!

Number nine is another no-brainer. Believe it or not, most attorneys leave the notarization up to someone who works for them in their office. This is ripe for mistakes. I have seen it numerous times where a signature is left blank, or not dated properly and where the grantor's date and the notary's date do not match. Plus, scribbling through something and initialing it, is a mistake. Never ever scribble through anything on a legal document. RE-DO IT!! The attorney that allows this on a newly created trust is not professional, but rather lazy, in my opinion.

Number ten can be costly. I had a client whose attorney let her husband name his Revocable Living Trust as the beneficiary of his IRA. His wife was a beneficiary, but there was also a corporate beneficiary. This failed to meet the definition of a "see-through trust" as far as the IRS is concerned, because a corporation is not a person. Therefore, you cannot "see-through it" to any person. As a result, the wife could not treat the IRA as her own and she had to take it all out in five years.

There you have my 10 Critical Mistakes in Estate Planning. Trust me, it is worthwhile to have someone like me take a look at your legal documents. Although, I am not an attorney, I am qualified by training and experience as a Certified Financial Planner® to review estate planning documents. By this I mean that I can read!

https://marianfs.com

Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Dealing with Grief

On September 4th, it was my son Reese's 31st birthday. Reese lived for 92 days and died of Sudden Infant Death Syndrome. I was blessed to be his father. Losing a son is no easy thing. You hear people say that "no parent should ever have to bury their child." I agree. Especially when it is your first child and they are only three months old. At age 33, I asked myself at the time, "How I am supposed to deal with this?" Truth be told, I didn't know.

Now that it has been almost 31 years, I can look back at it and evaluate how I have dealt with it over the years. When it happened, I suddenly had to wear a theoretical 50 pound vest around me. I am speaking metaphorically of course. In addition, to that, I had to try and be there for my wife. The first thing we noticed was that we each grieved differently. We both realized very quickly that we had to be supportive of each other when it counted. Too many grieving couples develop silos of grief and fail to communicate with each other. This causes one spouse to think the other does not care. Of course, this is patently untrue. It is simple a break down in communication. However, a breakdown in communication during a period of grief will lead to divorce in a lot of cases. Luckily, that did not happen in our marriage.

For several years, we volunteered at a Compassionate Friends group which became a Bereaved Parents group later on. One of the things that immediately slapped me in the face was that there were always people worse off than you. One lady had lost three of her children in a fire. Another son who filled in one night for his friend at a convenience store was murdered on that freak one night. He was working on his master's degree and was going places in life. There were so many heartbreaking stories among these people, but it was comforting to meet other people who have also lost a child. It was a safe place for a time. However, it is not a place to stay for years upon years. You will know when it is time to move on. Your instincts will tell you.

My wife and I discussed what to do next. We still wanted to have a family. Our plan was to have two or three children about two years apart. When we were ready, we got back up on that horse that had knocked us down and had our second son Marshall. Once he was born, it was not easy. We were on pins and needles that we might lose another child to SIDS. He was hooked up to a breathing monitor and I'll be darn if he didn't set that thing off 28 times in the first 30 days. You talk about a guy running a hundred yard dash to his bedroom. I did that a lot. 

Of course, the risk for SIDS is really about the first six months. We did not know anything about SIDS back then, nor did we even know anyone who had a child who died of SIDS. For myself, I went to the local medical school library and read everything that I could find on it. There are influencing factors that I discovered. Premature birth, male, born in winter months, having a cold prior to death and sleeping on their stomach. Reese was born about 4 - 5 weeks early. He was not really what you would call a premature baby, but when he was born, he was held in the neo-natal unit the whole time at the hospital. When the doctor finally showed up 4 or 5 days later, he said "take him home and treat him like a normal baby." I was like, wait a freaking minute. He was in neo-natal ICU for 4 or 5 days and now, everything is fine? The doctor said "Yes. Treat him like a normal baby." Notice how I remember that 31 years later? Of course, I do not have a very high opinion of that doctor. I know. I know. It wasn't his fault that my son died, but damn it! Get your head out of your rear end. You are a "baby doctor" who is supposed to be knowledgeable about things like, oh I don't know, perhaps Sudden Infant Death Syndrome. Reese had all those signs that I discovered in the medical school library mentioned above.

Sorry, I digressed.

My first real experience with grief was when I was a senior in high school and I learned that my father had died. I never knew my father. Although, he had plans to have a relationship with me, because he had moved back to Arkansas from California to become the Chief of Police in Camden. My sister Tami had told me that they moved to Arkansas so he could have a relationship with me when I turned eighteen. Unfortunately, it was not meant to be.

Dealing with the grief of losing my father has been a lifelong struggle. My mother has been absolutely no help. No parent should ever disparage the other parent to their child, especially when they are deceased. After all, they are not a threat any more if they are dead. 

My wife and I had three miscarriages in a row after Marshall was born. These were no fun. We decided to keep trying. We saw that movie "Rudy" and decided that our baby would be named Rudy if it was a boy and Rudi if it was a girl. We were blessed with a girl and both our son Marshall and daughter Rudi are doing well. 

I've lost two brothers and a sister, too. My brother David was killed in a automobile accident at age 32. My sister Tami died at age 53 of health complications from Lupus and doctor approved morphine. More recently, my brother Jon died last year of a heart attack. I begged him to quit smoking, especially since our father died at age 39 of a heart attack and he was a heavy smoker. After Jon had his second heart attack, he had bypass surgery and quit smoking for a short time, but resumed his smoking unfortunately. There was no good outcome to be had.

When I turned age 39, I was wondering if I would make it pass that grim milestone. I had an eerie feeling that year and for good reason. One of my best friends in the world would be murdered and two days later, my step father would die of cancer. My best friend's mother would go on to lose three of her 4 children. One more to ALS and another to murder. Two murdered children in one family. As I mentioned above, there is always someone who has had it worse than you. Remember that.

Looking back, as I am nearing my 64th birthday, I am amazed that I am not in the crazy house. Getting back to the title of this blog, I have dealt with each of these incidents of grief in different ways. For my son Reese, I look at his picture each night that I go to sleep and pat myself on my chest where I used to hold him. On his birthday, we light a candle for Labor Day, since he was born on Labor Day.

For my father, I have researched his life and built a shadow box in his honor. He was a "Rakkasan" or Korea War paratrooper from the 187th which merged into the 101st Airborne. He spent over 10 years in both the Army and the Air Force, then joined the ranks of law enforcement where he served until his death. He was an American hero. I have his pictures on my phone and on my mantle. Further, I have done genealogy on the Allison family and this has been very rewarding to me personally.

For my best friend Mike, I have a beer holder in a drawer in my bath room that holds my hair brush. Every time I brush my hair, I see that beer holder. We were roommates and fraternity brothers and went to the Sigma Alpha Epsilon Leadership School together.

I have pictures of my brothers, David and Jon on my mantle too, along with one with my sister Tami. Whenever the clock strikes 12:12, I think of my brother David. We saw David on 12/12/1993 for the last time at my nephew's first birthday party. On his way home, he was killed in the automobile accident. I do not go by that exit on I-40 often, but when I do, I certainly do not like it. I have a golf tournament award that my brother Jon won along with a picture of him with Eddie Van Halen. I miss my brothers a lot. Both of them were great brothers.

The picture that I have of Tami is one with all of the Allison family except our father. She was always sweet to me and helped me fill in some gaps in regard to my father. It was like that show "Long Lost Family" when I met her in Las Vegas. We instantly connected.

One thing that I noticed about grief is that your friends change. People that you thought were your friends feel too inept to communicate with you, so they slowly slink away. While other people you do not expect have a newfound appreciation of what you have gone through. There is no one answer to dealing with grief. Of course, I could not do it without my faith in Jesus. I am comforted to know that he said "Let the little children come to me." That tells me all I need to know about how Jesus feels about Reese.

Right now, my wife's father is experiencing his last days in a nursing home. More grief to come for my wife and I. My wife lost her brother Jerome at age 57 which was the same age that my step father Hillman died. Unfortunately, grief never goes away, so you have to learn to live with it, like it or not. There is no reason to ruin your life and sink into a depressive state, or get addicted to drugs or alcohol to deal with it, because none of those things will help you. It is more important to recognize grief for what it is, accept it, then keep moving forward living your life. You will never get over the loss of people that you love, but you can choose to live your life and find your own happiness. Little by little, the weight of the 50 lb weight vest will start to dissipate. It will rreturn periodically, but you will get better at removing the weight of it. Stay focused on the future, respect the memories of the past, appreciate the gifts that you received of God putting those people in your life and then live your life in pursuit of your own happiness. Happiness is better than depression any day of the week.